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"We took the measures that mitigated a disaster, therefore the disaster was never going to happen" is an idiotic opinion.A virus that spreads from close proximity with infected people, and y...
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
HN
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762028TL;DR contact tracing shows numerous cases of asymptomatic people that have introduced the disease to people near them....
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
HN
Here are the facts as we have them.From https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/japan/ Japan admits to about 10,000 cases now, with a doubling time of about 11 days so they will admit to 20,...
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
HN
This is just my 2 cents but according to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries Japan has only done 923 tests for 1M of their population. That's much lower than any developed nation. One...
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
HN
> Why is the author afraid of "sanctions" in a first world democracy with strong freedom of speech protections?https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criminal_justice_system_of_Jap..."Many Weste...
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
HN
The manual for the test used specifically warns that other coronaviruses may lead to a positive test result.> Positive results may be due to past or present infection with non-SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus s...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
This is why you don't compare the current situation tothe known fatality rates of another pandemic for which the dust has settled and we already know everything. A better (not perfect) method is the C...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
The original study was on the HN front page twice; biggest thread:https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22899272This analysis is pretty damning, and is more credible in context (the topline findings of...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
Another odd thing: One of the co-authors of the study, Andrew Bogan seems to manage a hedge fund, and then published a WSJ op-ed on the study. He didn't note in the op-ed that he was involved in the s...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
In regards to the issue of selection bias, this is what the ad looked like:https://twitter.com/foxjust/status/1251270848075440133Quote from ad: "We are looking for participants to get tested for ...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
Please stop pointing out articles that question certain bias..Anything that questions climate, overpopulation, our obvious pandemics must be accepted at full face value.Now that we've established what...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
As best I can tell, the Imperial College report (https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...) got its numbers from this study: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
As flawed as this is, it's in line with other studies around the world. You can nitpick and critique each one for something, but we now have a whole body of evidence using different techniques and dif...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
I believe this is true of most such viruses. The flu is also contagious the day before you show symptoms, then most contagious 5-7 days after [1].[EDIT] Actually, it says as much in the graph in your ...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
I have been reading this recent paper which suggests that c19 spreads most in the days before symptoms:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0869-5...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
There was an episode on Planet Money that ran cost benefit analysis and their conclusion was that it makes sense to lock down because just trying to get to herd immunity will cost more.https://www.npr...
show context + On: Do Covid-19 death rates by age suggest a path to staying ope
show context + On: Do Covid-19 death rates by age suggest a path to staying ope
Well, I think we agree it would be a crap "plan". However I think for most people "California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order" is basically something like a plan.And New...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
:strip_exif(true):strip_icc(true):no_upscale(true):quality(65)/arc-anglerfish-arc2-prod-gmg.s3.amazonaws.com/public/QZZDH2AOMNARNJ6HRA52QPEGJI.png)
> why hospitalizations keep going up in this roadmap when every country that has put strict social distancing measures in effect starts to see a leveling-off and decrease in hospitalization after arou...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Edit to show the point better: Go here (easily the best visualization site, FWIW), scroll to the bottom where you can see a log chart of per-capita infection rates normalized to a single "start t...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
"Everywhere was growing with roughly the same exponent before lockdown."No, they weren't. You're just asserting that this is true. There's effectively no way to know what the doubling rate w...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
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