Suicides are up.The evidence for that is quite weak.From https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4352Overall, the literature on the effect of covid-19 on suicide should be interpreted with caution. Most ...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
Interestingly, in the UK the average age of people who die from coronavirus (82.4) is slightly older than the average age of people dying of other causes (81.5).https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/aver...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
To get a better idea of why zooming out 20 years isn't reasonable, take a look at the past 120 years in the US (Sweden's numbers likely follow the same trajectory): https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data-visua...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
If you zoom out 200 years, this year's mortality looks awesome!Yes, the world has become a safer place to live in over the years.Given the downward trend in age adjusted deaths per million over time, ...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
Sweden had pretty good numbers over the summer, but sadly have a spike of cases over the last month. Essentially half of the total covid cases in Sweden have occurred in time. So with some lag, I'd ...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
February through July, an average of 9.3 years of life lost.https://academic.oup.com/jpubhealth/advance-article/doi/10.1..."Deaths among adults 65 and older accounted for 80% of excess YLL in Apr...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
UK death rate, 2015: 9.179 / 1000; 2020: 9.413.Calculated total deaths, 2015 (pop. 64.85 million): 595,258.15; 2020 (pop. 67.89 million): 639,048.57.Difference: 43,790.42. Weekly averages: 11,000 - 12...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
exactly. to boot, if you look at death rates for all of the UK, they have been on an upward trend for the past several years so it is no surprise that deaths would higher this year than in any year in...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
Might be true, and likely is for England, but not for Wales.
The data presented on this website doesn't show the flu death curves for 2017 - 2020, only the spike of this year. And you cannot compare a...
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On: The number of people dying is not the same as in any other y
I love the effort to quantify things! It's a great approach.I am sure there are a bunch of ways to nitpick but I appreciate the approach.I personally think you need a drop-down for age and your risk t...
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On: MicroCOVID: Estimate the Covid risk from your ordinary daily
Because when you look at the excess deaths charts [1], there's nothing at all surprising before mid-March. Then from mid-March onwards, deaths (from all causes) go through the roof.So there simply was...
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On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
In a previous report by Reuters, all 4,800 personnel were tested for COVID-19. 600 tested positive of which 360 were symptom-free leaving 240 that tested positive and showed symptoms. 1 person died ...
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On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Heinsberg study suggests a mortality rate of about 0.36%. This is high, but not "a big threat". Given that with 0.36% and 15% infection spread in the general population (like flu) you look a...
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On: For experts who study coronaviruses, a grim vindication
I'll give you an honest answer, but well, it's obvious. Yes, it's a big threat, it's clear if you pay attention. It's killed more than 100k people, a lot more than an annual flue. It's a horrible deat...
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On: For experts who study coronaviruses, a grim vindication
Here is a WHO report from February saying the same thing:> Modeling is a helpful tool to try to account for missed cases, such as those that are mild cases potentially missed in current surveillance a...
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On: Antibody Tests Point to Lower Death Rate for the Coronavirus
> 21000 deaths is not "near zero"I'm not sure what your contrived narrative is, but actually it is near zero, far less than several other causes of death. (The annual mortality rate is over ...
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On: Antibody Tests Point to Lower Death Rate for the Coronavirus
There we go again. In NYC, 19 out of 100,000 people aged 18-45 died. (1)There are roughly 110M people in that age group in the U.S. so that would mean 21000 deaths if the virus would spread as widely ...
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On: Antibody Tests Point to Lower Death Rate for the Coronavirus
Thanks for the info.If those dates are correct for the first week of Jan., then the CDC was actually very aggressive for a govt. agency, since Wuhan was still trying to cover it up that week. (See lin...
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On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many
> The only rational option I see is Americans must be some of the healthiest people. Kidding asideThe US was fortunate to have considerable ICU capacity. That has kept the mortality rate far lower tha...
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On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many