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Sure, phone surveys for political purposes (presidential approval ratings etc.) have to deal with that all of the time. There are methods for estimating non-response impact. [0] One method of mitigati...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
> Here, it's closer to a random sample,
but more importantly it shows really
high rates. Those rates overwhelm any error
due to false positives.I'm not seeing that, at least not from what I've s...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
What I learned from an article of a major German newspaper is that in order to really estimate the quality of testing, two criteria are important: sensitivity and specifity of the applied test.If the ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
3.4% was never stated to be anything but the case fatality rate. The WHO's statement was:>Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have diedIoannidis acknowledged that in his original STAT art...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
At various points in interviews and articles he used Diamond Princess, South Korea, Germany, Iceland as strong evidence of miniscule fatality rates, in every single case selectively ignoring that dea...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
I was astonished by your 1/1000 figure and had to look it up... If anything, its too low. 15k deaths (proven+probable) in 8M people is almost 2/1000.https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
Is there a write-up for this study? Or anywhere with data/methodology released?Also, is this particularly good news? Using the raw numbers from the headline and the deaths from here https://www1.nyc.g...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
This might be a bit blunt but I am not jesting - an article about disease testing that does not contain the words "false positive" and "false negative" in some form is literally no...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Sweden didn't lockdown and might have herd immunity in weeks, according to their chief epidemiologist. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out in the long run."In major parts of Sweden, around ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Yes, but the age is a 10x factor, os CFR would be much different in Nigeria (average age is about 19) and Italy (average age 45). We have two good petri dishes:USS Theodore Roosevelt - 600 cases out o...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Outside the context of this virus, for adult men, the survival rate one year after mechanical ventilation might be 30 percent: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8404197/...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
The death rate of those requiring ventilation in NYC is closer to 88% https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2765184...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
0.5% comes from Cuomo's presentation [1].Also your 50% seems very high to me. My understanding is that 50% is about the death rate of covid patients requiring ventilation, so the overall death rate of...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
You may be looking at "settled" numbers when all was said & done and all facts were known. That's not an "apples to apples" comparison with current covid-19 knowledge.Here's my sou...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
While this is great information, a few facts will still confound attempts to speculate based on this number:- The production of IgG antibodies is mostly delayed until after an infection is cleared.- T...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
It's actually important to point out, the CDC is very explicit that they are estimating flu illnesses, in their own words "an estimated 34 million people had symptomatic influenza illness"Ma...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
In comparing the COVID-19 IFR to the flu IFR, it is important to remember that flu vaccines are widely available and limit the spread of influenza. For example, CDC retrospectives for 2018-9 estimate ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
>In the general population overall, Covid is undeniably more deadly than the flu, but only about 3-5x (and I think 3x personally right now).I don't see how you get close to 3X more deadly than the flu...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
> But to get from 7% (hospitalized to confirmed) to 1 in 500 is a factor of 35.This is broadly in the range implied by a number of measures across the entire population. 20x for randomized population...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
In San Diego people under 30 are close to 20% of total confirmed and over 5% of hospitalized cases. About 7% of confirmed are hospitalized for this age group. Our positive test ratio is under 7%. Test...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
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