Right, but I think some of that suicide rate comes from the lack of "purpose" (it's silly that we rely on our jobs for purpose but we really do), or more broadly the desynchronization of one...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
At this point people advocating the position you're advocating for are in a state of denial (this is my opinion, not a matter of fact, obviously). Your assumption is that we can effectively prevent th...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
I picked 15-34 because it corresponds with the data table I cited from the CDC, which lists confirmed deaths from each for the time period. It's already cited and linked, but here's it again: table ...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Not sure why you added the lower limit at 15. The two high risk age groups from influenza are 65+ and under 5. If I recall correctly, pediatric flu deaths are the only ones tracked by the CDC (for oth...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
> I don't think 2X is "approximately", but I do agree that we don't have enough data right now to know the exact difference so I can't say for sure that COVID-19 is more than 2X as dangerou...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Table 2: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htmThe statement you differed with is "The third option is, when you take into account that it's approximately as bad as the flu for fol...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
> I find it very suspicious that young people who don't go to the hospital with severe disease would require oxygen or end up with life-long lung injuries.https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Young people are also drastically less likely to get severe disease, and drastically less likely to be hospitalized, see FIGURE 1. [1] I find it very suspicious that young people who don't go to the h...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
I found the link I was looking for. Here's some COVID numbers: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-d...I'm on mobile right now so won't be able to look up the influenza numbers,...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
> I am suggesting that you are preferring a rate based on an even more biased method, because the method yields a bigger number.What method? I merely stated that PCR has limitations, I never said I wa...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
I don't think anyone disagrees that the sample has bias. On the other hand, since the majority of people have no choice but to grocery shop in person, I do not think the sample is as tilted as you im...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Just some numbers:In Sweden, which only has a voluntary lockdown, over 30% of covid19 dead come from elderly homes[0]. Swedish elderly care is highly focused on keeping the elderly independent (at hom...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
The data that NYC publishes daily is super interesting since it breaks down cases/deaths by race, gender, age (group), and presence of underlying health conditions [1].The gist of it is that the major...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
It will probably be significantly higher than 60%, since COVID-19's R0 without lockdown seems to be pretty high. The CDC has estimated it at 5.7 [0]. Herd immunity threshold = 1 - 1/R0, so the thresho...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Per https://covidtracking.com/data#state-ny there have been 57103 hospitalizations in the state (not city, so not quite the same population), of which 15021 are still hospitalized. So that's 42082 ca...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Except this data is also lagging by three weeks, depending on what antibodies are being checked. Some deaths today have come from infections in April, so the net effect could be a wash.And where are ...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Good news. Herd-immunity is growing.Also, this means that the death-rate is far lower than reported. And this is nice too. Maybe we can save people by starting the society again.In other news, we see ...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Regardless of initial estimates, how is 0.6% - 1% "closer inline" to 0.026%[1]? Even based upon the low range that's 30X more fatal.[1] http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/8406723.stm...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-r...I mean there were articles like this all of march. I'm not saying the WHO or CDC might of said something different but lets acknowledge t...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
I disagree. It's simply too early to make that determination.The Spanish Flu had a estimated infection fatality ratio of >2.5% (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/1/05-0979_article). As another comm...
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On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C