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HN
The manual for the test used specifically warns that other coronaviruses may lead to a positive test result.> Positive results may be due to past or present infection with non-SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus s...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
This is why you don't compare the current situation tothe known fatality rates of another pandemic for which the dust has settled and we already know everything. A better (not perfect) method is the C...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
The original study was on the HN front page twice; biggest thread:https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22899272This analysis is pretty damning, and is more credible in context (the topline findings of...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
In regards to the issue of selection bias, this is what the ad looked like:https://twitter.com/foxjust/status/1251270848075440133Quote from ad: "We are looking for participants to get tested for ...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
As best I can tell, the Imperial College report (https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...) got its numbers from this study: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
As flawed as this is, it's in line with other studies around the world. You can nitpick and critique each one for something, but we now have a whole body of evidence using different techniques and dif...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
I believe this is true of most such viruses. The flu is also contagious the day before you show symptoms, then most contagious 5-7 days after [1].[EDIT] Actually, it says as much in the graph in your ...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
I have been reading this recent paper which suggests that c19 spreads most in the days before symptoms:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0869-5...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
HN
There was an episode on Planet Money that ran cost benefit analysis and their conclusion was that it makes sense to lock down because just trying to get to herd immunity will cost more.https://www.npr...
show context + On: Do Covid-19 death rates by age suggest a path to staying ope
show context + On: Do Covid-19 death rates by age suggest a path to staying ope
Well, I think we agree it would be a crap "plan". However I think for most people "California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order" is basically something like a plan.And New...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
:strip_exif(true):strip_icc(true):no_upscale(true):quality(65)/arc-anglerfish-arc2-prod-gmg.s3.amazonaws.com/public/QZZDH2AOMNARNJ6HRA52QPEGJI.png)
> why hospitalizations keep going up in this roadmap when every country that has put strict social distancing measures in effect starts to see a leveling-off and decrease in hospitalization after arou...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Edit to show the point better: Go here (easily the best visualization site, FWIW), scroll to the bottom where you can see a log chart of per-capita infection rates normalized to a single "start t...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
"Everywhere was growing with roughly the same exponent before lockdown."No, they weren't. You're just asserting that this is true. There's effectively no way to know what the doubling rate w...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
> don't necessarily need shelter-in-place rulesIs there a cite for that? Because that's not the way the data looks.Everywhere was growing with roughly the same exponent before lockdown. The numbers ...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Indeed, if you look at CDC's cause of death numbers you will see they only list till 2017.https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htmhttps://www.cdc.gov/healthequity/lcod/At least tha...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
https://twitter.com/MarkLevineNYC/status/1250170016504430595@MarkLevineNYC
BREAKING: NYC publishes, for first time, data on fatalities that includes "probable" cases (those without a confirm...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
I personally think we need a county-by-county approach. There is a high variation of the infection at local levels. All the news is currently about how bad New York is and it's true but we're not all ...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
HN
Whenever I see the IHME charts[1] (which are great) I think “I wish I could see the what the model predicted before today's date so I can assess it.”This shows laudable transparency, in my view.(Also...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
HN
https://i.imgur.com/dJ7kHch.pngIt's pretty sloppy to show surge capacity on the same graph as total hospitalizations, not active active hospitalizations....
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
A source for what you are saying is the linked SF article [1] which indicates that of ~3k evidently sick people with flu symptoms, 0.1-1% were confirmed to have COVID-19. Though note this is not rando...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
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