I believe this is true of most such viruses. The flu is also contagious the day before you show symptoms, then most contagious 5-7 days after [1].[EDIT] Actually, it says as much in the graph in your ...
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On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
There was an episode on Planet Money that ran cost benefit analysis and their conclusion was that it makes sense to lock down because just trying to get to herd immunity will cost more.https://www.npr...
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On: Do Covid-19 death rates by age suggest a path to staying ope
https://twitter.com/MarkLevineNYC/status/1250170016504430595@MarkLevineNYC
BREAKING: NYC publishes, for first time, data on fatalities that includes "probable" cases (those without a confirm...
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On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
A source for what you are saying is the linked SF article [1] which indicates that of ~3k evidently sick people with flu symptoms, 0.1-1% were confirmed to have COVID-19. Though note this is not rando...
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On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
That's almost certainly untrue. Recent studies have show that as many as 38% of the Italian population has been infected at this point [1]. That gives a fatality rate 0.03%. Let's say the official dea...
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On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Something weird happened in California, where 20% of their tests were coming back positive, then all the sudden 04/04/2020 they started seeing <10% positive tests:https://raw.githubusercontent.com/let...
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On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
There is data suggesting that the current number of recognized infections is just 6% of the total infection count. This also means that case fatality rates are vastly overstated, since the rate would ...
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On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Too early to tell there.https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/virus-deaths-rise-sw...> For weeks, the numbers of COVID-19 cases and fatalities were proportionally similar between Sweden and Denmark...
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On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
They've taken some mitigation steps - closing high schools and universities, banning large gatherings, encouraging work from home, social distancing, etc. It's also unclear if it's working:https://abc...
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On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
In other words, the submission title is misleading: the effects of poverty are type of trauma. We're not talking about "too poor to afford the latest game console" here; we're talking about...
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On: Poverty, not trauma, affects cognitive function in refugee y
Are there similar calculations for European countries? Several countries are easing lockdowns based on the idea that the transmission rate has become manageable. I'd love to see how those numbers stac...
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On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
India's tests/M is 149. Brazil's 296. Compared to 8894 of USA as of today.Positive % out of tests: USA ~20%, India: ~5%, Brazil: ~38%.But at least here in India we test when we are like really really ...
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On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
There's a couple problems with this:* deaths are also likely to be under reported (although, I agree, probably still better than the total unknown people who haven't been tested)* a decreasing number ...
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On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
In the UK we have two death counts.The one that's used most (the one that appears every day) is here: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/f94c3c9...That is people who test positive fo...
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On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
I saw an interesting alternate statistics where you measure the overall mortality rate and compare to previous years. EU only, but something like this might exist elsewhere as well:http://euromomo.eu/...
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On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
If you look at test results you probably won't learn much. There will be far fewer tests than cases and most cases will never be tested. It seems more likely that you'll just be measuring some other e...
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On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
COVID-19 is not a normal respiratory infection. It seems to prevent your RBCs from holding onto O2 and CO2 mimicking high altitude sickness. The disease acts like HAPE (high altitude pulmonary edema)....
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On: Study: Severe Covid-19 Cases Don't Respond to Hydroxychloroq