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> Prior to March 3rd, the official position of the WHO was that "The flu is worse"That wasn't their position, in fact they instructed other nations to prepare. The R0 and mortality rate they...
show context + On: YouTube bans coronavirus-related content that directly contr
show context + On: YouTube bans coronavirus-related content that directly contr
HN
> Who knows what using these plant medicines across a population would result in statistically?A lot of deaths:https://scienceblogs.com/insolence/2012/07/02/dietary-supple...> The inspection reports p...
show context + On: YouTube bans coronavirus-related content that directly contr
show context + On: YouTube bans coronavirus-related content that directly contr
HN
Not the only position that changed radically over time. Head of WHO in early March:> First, COVID-19 does not transmit as efficiently as influenza, from the data we have so far.> With influenza, peopl...
show context + On: YouTube bans coronavirus-related content that directly contr
show context + On: YouTube bans coronavirus-related content that directly contr
HN
Quarantine measures were widely implemented in major cities during the 1918 pandemic, but at different times in response to different catastrophes and with a very different result in deaths per capita...
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
HN
Here are the facts as we have them.From https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/japan/ Japan admits to about 10,000 cases now, with a doubling time of about 11 days so they will admit to 20,...
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
show context + On: An update on a pre-registered result about the coronavirus
This is why you don't compare the current situation tothe known fatality rates of another pandemic for which the dust has settled and we already know everything. A better (not perfect) method is the C...
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
show context + On: Concerns with that Stanford antibody study of coronavirus pr
Indeed, if you look at CDC's cause of death numbers you will see they only list till 2017.https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htmhttps://www.cdc.gov/healthequity/lcod/At least tha...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
https://twitter.com/MarkLevineNYC/status/1250170016504430595@MarkLevineNYC
BREAKING: NYC publishes, for first time, data on fatalities that includes "probable" cases (those without a confirm...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Just in support of your argument, new data is showing that the fatality rate is lower then previously estimated, due to a large number of undetected cases.Just one example, tests of pregnant women com...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
HN
What's your source for 2%? A recent study which was featured on Hacker News estimated the infection fatality rate at 0.66%. [1]I have seen a number of studies putting the case fatality rate at 2-3%, b...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
That's a good question. If control measures are undertaken to "flatten the curve" down to the capacity of the medical system, we'd expect to see new infections per day and deaths per day le...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
HN
That's because worldometer data is community reported. This data comes from the states (mostly):https://covidtracking.com/...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
There is data suggesting that the current number of recognized infections is just 6% of the total infection count. This also means that case fatality rates are vastly overstated, since the rate would ...
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
show context + On: California's Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
Too early to tell there.https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/virus-deaths-rise-sw...> For weeks, the numbers of COVID-19 cases and fatalities were proportionally similar between Sweden and Denmark...
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
They've taken some mitigation steps - closing high schools and universities, banning large gatherings, encouraging work from home, social distancing, etc. It's also unclear if it's working:https://abc...
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
HN
The Office for National Statistics is gathering lots of data for the England and Wales (but not NI or Scotland). (There's some lag in the ONS data)."The provisional number of deaths registered i...
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
HN
Let them have a look at [1]It shows a graph of the death rates for the past 3 years. This year is not a good year (to put it mildly)If they're Dutch, then they know what the RIVM stands for. For other...
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
show context + On: Latest EURO MOMO data shows excess all-cause mortality in so
HN
Interesting article. In late March I built a simple SEIRD model for a few US states with python. It was very difficult to estimate R0. R0 is essentially Beta/Gamma, where Beta^-1 is is time between co...
show context + On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
show context + On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
HN
Or it's just inaccurate data. I wonder how many cases of COVID19 deaths being reported as "pneumonia" [1] (technically correct, but also untrue) as in this story?Also keep in mind the "...
show context + On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
show context + On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
HN
There's a couple problems with this:* deaths are also likely to be under reported (although, I agree, probably still better than the total unknown people who haven't been tested)* a decreasing number ...
show context + On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
show context + On: The Metric We Need to Manage Covid-19
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