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You may be looking at "settled" numbers when all was said & done and all facts were known. That's not an "apples to apples" comparison with current covid-19 knowledge.Here's my sou...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
hacker news link | site new-york
It's actually important to point out, the CDC is very explicit that they are estimating flu illnesses, in their own words "an estimated 34 million people had symptomatic influenza illness"Ma...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
hacker news link | site new-york south-korea
>In the general population overall, Covid is undeniably more deadly than the flu, but only about 3-5x (and I think 3x personally right now).I don't see how you get close to 3X more deadly than the flu...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Right, but I think some of that suicide rate comes from the lack of "purpose" (it's silly that we rely on our jobs for purpose but we really do), or more broadly the desynchronization of one...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site italy netherland us
At this point people advocating the position you're advocating for are in a state of denial (this is my opinion, not a matter of fact, obviously). Your assumption is that we can effectively prevent th...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
I picked 15-34 because it corresponds with the data table I cited from the CDC, which lists confirmed deaths from each for the time period. It's already cited and linked, but here's it again: table ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
Not sure why you added the lower limit at 15. The two high risk age groups from influenza are 65+ and under 5. If I recall correctly, pediatric flu deaths are the only ones tracked by the CDC (for oth...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
Table 2: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htmThe statement you differed with is "The third option is, when you take into account that it's approximately as bad as the flu for fol...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
I found the link I was looking for. Here's some COVID numbers: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-d...I'm on mobile right now so won't be able to look up the influenza numbers,...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
> I am suggesting that you are preferring a rate based on an even more biased method, because the method yields a bigger number.What method? I merely stated that PCR has limitations, I never said I wa...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Just some numbers:In Sweden, which only has a voluntary lockdown, over 30% of covid19 dead come from elderly homes[0]. Swedish elderly care is highly focused on keeping the elderly independent (at hom...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
The data that NYC publishes daily is super interesting since it breaks down cases/deaths by race, gender, age (group), and presence of underlying health conditions [1].The gist of it is that the major...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
Per https://covidtracking.com/data#state-ny there have been 57103 hospitalizations in the state (not city, so not quite the same population), of which 15021 are still hospitalized. So that's 42082 ca...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
Except this data is also lagging by three weeks, depending on what antibodies are being checked. Some deaths today have come from infections in April, so the net effect could be a wash.And where are ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Good news. Herd-immunity is growing.Also, this means that the death-rate is far lower than reported. And this is nice too. Maybe we can save people by starting the society again.In other news, we see ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-r...I mean there were articles like this all of march. I'm not saying the WHO or CDC might of said something different but lets acknowledge t...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
hacker news link | site new-york spain
I disagree. It's simply too early to make that determination.The Spanish Flu had a estimated infection fatality ratio of >2.5% (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/1/05-0979_article). As another comm...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york us
You can derive that from better data. From https://covidtracking.com/ we can see that 57k people have been hospitalized in New York State so far, with 15k still in the hospital. Of the 42k who aren'...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
The city itself actually estimates a total of 15,411 deaths so far the the figure is already closer to 0.9%, and there are still people dying in the city every day so will likely end up a bit higher (...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
If this study is accurate, then 1.8 million NYC resident are infected. So 15 411 deaths (as of today, including 5 121 probable deaths) suggests COVID-19 has a fatality rate of MINIMUM 0.9% which is in...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
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