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HN
Most likely lack of data. NYC has data with deaths vs comorbidity but I haven't seen it for anywhere else: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-d......
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
Link to the actual paper:https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S1473-3099%2820...Estimates are in the last column of Table 1 (page 5).These seem roughly in line with CDC estimates for the US, s...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
My basis is looking at Spain and Italy which seem to be past their peak, recovered % is rising.https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
> Where did you obtain the figure of 21% outcomes being death?https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
You are one of already three commentators saying this (see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22785738 and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22785762), and similar concerns arise every time numbe...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
The tone behind chiefalchemist's comment is not appropriate ("Communist China" intends to evoke specific emotions, which doesn't have a place on hackernews).That said, while the citation for...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
These numbers seem much more realistic versus the previous doomsday predictions of 3%. To compare this to base rates, the age adjusted base rate for deaths in the US in 2018 was about 0.7%[0]. Dependi...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
The US death rate is the sum of a bunch of time-lagged exponential curves. For instance, CA is 2 weeks after NY. Numbers from individual states are more informative (but have similar issues for big ...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
CDC says USA deaths are at 6,500 as of yesterday 4th April [1]Considering they were reported in the news[2] as 600 on Tues 23rd, 1000 on Thurs 25th, 2000 on Sat 28th, 3700 on Mon 31st, and the infecti...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
Let's presume this death rate is accurate to within an order of 2- 1.33% to 0.33%. We can use that to do some interesting estimates on the true infection rate.https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
For a country with ~10% over 70 years old, and assuming infection fatality rate of ~6% among those, then IFR would already be 0.6%. So suppose that what you've read is the current statistics, it does ...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
I would just like to point out the nursing home facts below:The length of stay data were striking:the median length of stay in a nursing home before death was 5 monthsthe average length of stay was lo...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
We can argue about specific examples, but I think you can more easily accept errors in your estimate so:First, there are 12 not 11 known deaths. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamond_Princess_(ship)Se...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
> Based on Diamond Princess data, where almost everyone was tested, the lower bound of COVID19's IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) should be > 0.5% for many/most countries.No, you can't compare a country'...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
Based on Diamond Princess data, where almost everyone was tested, the lower bound of COVID19's IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) should be > 0.5% for many/most countries.This uses a data source independen...
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
show context + On: Covid-19: death rate is 0.66% and increases with age, study
HN
A similar overview from Germany: https://www.intensivregister.de/#/intensivregisterSadly the data doesn't seem to be readily accessible....
show context + On: Silicon Valley Live Hospital Bed Data
show context + On: Silicon Valley Live Hospital Bed Data
HN
No, the numbers are very bad.There's approx. 860 acute and ICU beds empty (from the text chart) for Santa Clara County, which has about 3-4 million people. So that will be full in about 1-2 weeks.In ...
show context + On: Silicon Valley Live Hospital Bed Data
show context + On: Silicon Valley Live Hospital Bed Data
> Bankrupting a company you just bought by over leveraging often means you took a massive lossNo, the company took a loss. You took dividends.Then the company went bankrupt.Do you disagree that's what...
show context + On: Private equity is a scam?
show context + On: Private equity is a scam?
HN
It's not an issue with the theoretical concept of private equity, it's an issue with what these vehicles are being used to do in the real world.https://www.counterpunch.org/2020/04/03/hospital-bailout...
show context + On: Private equity is a scam?
show context + On: Private equity is a scam?
The problem is anti-trust is sleeping with PE folks. Our government has people coming in and out of corporations with conflict of interests.Here is Matt Stroller's take on Private Equity. https://matt...
show context + On: Private equity is a scam?
show context + On: Private equity is a scam?
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