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https://www.cbsnews.com/news/timeline-president-donald-trump...Feb 26: "And again, when you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that's a prett...
show context + On: Mortality Rates from Covid-19 Are Lower in Unionized Nursing
show context + On: Mortality Rates from Covid-19 Are Lower in Unionized Nursing
HN
Timely reminder for everyone that there is as of yet no evidence that Apple/Google/DP3T/ExposureFramework based apps deployed in the wild actually work effectively. They've been deployed in a number o...
show context + On: Ireland's Health Service Open Sources Official Covid-19 Trac
show context + On: Ireland's Health Service Open Sources Official Covid-19 Trac
There have reports both ways. It seems quite reasonable that nobody has been looking very hard where there aren't any symptoms. https://www.livescience.com/can-kids-get-coronavirus.html...
show context + On: 'Dramatic decline' in average age of Florida coronavirus pat
show context + On: 'Dramatic decline' in average age of Florida coronavirus pat
I'll respond in the hopes that you learn.First, your general assessment is wrong. The news was already reporting about US intelligence knowing about this in autumn of 2019, as well as China knowing ab...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
If you zoom in, "December" here mostly means 12/31, the exact day the virus appeared in public news: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2019-12-09%202......
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
According to European surveillance data [1], diarrhea is also a very rare symptom. The authors don't have a convincing argument why this should be a good indicator for COVID-19.[1] bottom row in this ...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
There is another report that suggested mobile data indicated the Wuhan lab "was closed from Oct. 7 through Oct. 24, 2019, and that there may have been a "hazardous event" sometime between Oc...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
Not to mention the PCR tests and the antibody tests got combined into "total cases" in several data sets, mucking the numbers:https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/05/cdc-and-s......
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
Independent testing of the Abbott assay found lower sensitivity, 94%. The blood samples used to establish sensitivity are also from patients who got sick enough to seek medical care, who likely have h...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
First, if you're talking about swabbing, then I think you're talking about the test to see whether a person is currently infected with the virus. That's what the article you linked was regarding.The a...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
COVID test accuracy is very similar to condom effectiveness: they're both high in theory, but surprisingly low in practice, not because of the science but user error. I've seen estimates as high as 1...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
Anecdotes aren't worth much in this area. There's no conspiracy of silence about problems. We can use actual science. They actually test the quality of these tests. Some are better than others.For exa...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
Because when you look at the excess deaths charts [1], there's nothing at all surprising before mid-March. Then from mid-March onwards, deaths (from all causes) go through the roof.So there simply was...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
From https://www.wsj.com/articles/so-where-did-the-virus-come-fro...:> New research has deepened, rather than dispelled, the mystery surrounding the origin of the coronavirus responsible f...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
In a previous report by Reuters, all 4,800 personnel were tested for COVID-19. 600 tested positive of which 360 were symptom-free leaving 240 that tested positive and showed symptoms. 1 person died ...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Herd immunity halts transmission after a point. The flu is between 33% and 44%. Covid-19 has some wide estimates for the threshold, between 29% and 74% according to the two studies referenced here: ht...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
HN
The PCR test is a very specific test. A positive test means the RNA sequence of SARS-CoV-2 was detected. A negative test, however, would not be as strong of an indicator as false positive rates are qu...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Yes, higher dose/severity probably means more likelihood of detectable antibodies:https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.21.108308v1> These data show that systemic IgA and IgG production agai...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
This probably under counts the true number of infection significantly.If the sensitivity/specificity of the test was similar to the paper below, true prevalence for the ship probably approaches 100%.h...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Heinsberg study suggests a mortality rate of about 0.36%. This is high, but not "a big threat". Given that with 0.36% and 15% infection spread in the general population (like flu) you look a...
show context + On: For experts who study coronaviruses, a grim vindication
show context + On: For experts who study coronaviruses, a grim vindication
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